Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.419511 0.483744 0.553546 0.634907 0.727004 0.827884 0.946614
2025-09-28 0.302190 0.388000 0.490431 0.621109 0.782728 0.975346 1.221523
2025-10-05 0.248025 0.344732 0.468369 0.636697 0.858367 1.138590 1.517655
2025-10-12 0.217421 0.322483 0.464511 0.668257 0.950296 1.323738 1.851740
2025-10-19 0.189985 0.298564 0.452769 0.684350 1.019098 1.480334 2.157522
2025-10-26 0.165888 0.274932 0.436945 0.690563 1.071704 1.615842 2.441869
2025-11-02 0.144665 0.252037 0.418429 0.689119 1.110723 1.732456 2.705303
2025-11-09 0.125407 0.229205 0.396654 0.679167 1.134231 1.825925 2.939115
2025-11-16 0.109328 0.209191 0.376572 0.668866 1.154784 1.914529 3.169584
2025-11-23 0.093763 0.187752 0.351349 0.646841 1.153407 1.967385 3.346272
2025-11-30 0.089499 0.186084 0.359506 0.681523 1.247540 2.177400 3.784843
2025-12-07 0.078099 0.169382 0.339077 0.663994 1.251107 2.239368 3.986089
2025-12-14 0.067944 0.153890 0.319441 0.646466 1.254116 2.302260 4.196413
2025-12-21 0.059512 0.140701 0.302645 0.632454 1.262133 2.374259 4.427467
2025-12-28 0.055394 0.135986 0.301720 0.648303 1.325694 2.546648 4.842413
2026-01-04 0.053290 0.135361 0.308850 0.680384 1.421920 2.782899 5.383869
2026-01-11 0.049867 0.131246 0.308253 0.696742 1.488985 2.970194 5.848220
2026-01-18 0.045920 0.125316 0.303089 0.703058 1.536558 3.124078 6.260123
2026-01-25 0.041785 0.118295 0.294696 0.701589 1.568071 3.249174 6.625071
2026-02-01 0.037478 0.110179 0.282883 0.691474 1.580840 3.338772 6.927687
2026-02-08 0.033628 0.102632 0.271473 0.681003 1.591740 3.424900 7.227917
2026-02-15 0.029492 0.093637 0.255541 0.658615 1.575219 3.455243 7.420655
2026-02-22 0.029012 0.094713 0.264194 0.693868 1.686233 3.748346 8.147888